Should we believe the economic optimists or gloom-mongers?

http://www.guardian.co.uk

Should we believe the economic optimists or gloom-mongers?

A stream of conflicting opinions and data makes it difficult to say where the global economy is going, but it’s probably safer to side with the pessimistsA leading thinktank says a recession is inevitable. At the same time a batch of economic data points to a recovery.